⚖️ China opens Nvidia antitrust probe over $6.9B Mellanox deal

China's regulator opened the probe in Sept 2025; no finding is in the record read. Huang is 'disappointed' by a chip-ban report. ⏳

Jensen HuangPROBEPhoto: The White House · Public domain

Photo: The White House, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons. Desaturated and cropped by MrScandal.

Nvidia is the trending search today, so here is the paperwork. The record shows China's market regulator opened an anti-monopoly investigation into Nvidia over its Mellanox purchase, according to CNBC's report of Sept. 17, 2025. The documents read for this piece contain no regulator finding that Nvidia breached the law. Nor do they list any conditions attached to the deal.

What we know

  • Nvidia said on March 11, 2019 it would buy Mellanox for $125 per share in cash, an enterprise value of about $6.9B, per Nvidia's announcement.
  • Reuters reported on April 16, 2020 that Chinese authorities had approved the deal; US and EU antitrust authorities had already approved it.
  • CNBC reported on Sept. 17, 2025 that China's State Administration for Market Regulation had opened an anti-monopoly investigation into Nvidia over the Mellanox acquisition earlier that week.
  • The BBC reported on Aug. 11, 2025 that Nvidia would pay the US government 15% of its H20 chip revenue from China to secure export licences.
  • The BBC reported on Jan. 14, 2026 that the US Commerce Department cleared H200 sales to China; the President had spoken of a 25% fee.

The timeline

March 11, 2019: Nvidia announced a definitive agreement to buy Mellanox for $125 per share in cash, an enterprise value of about $6.9B, in its own newsroom statement. Engadget reported that the bid beat an Intel offer of $6 billion made months earlier. CNBC reported that analysts did not see any regulatory hurdles for Nvidia. Intel, it said, would have faced challenges.

April 16, 2020: Reuters reported that Nvidia said Chinese authorities had approved the deal, the last obstacle. US and EU antitrust authorities had already approved it, Reuters said. Reuters noted that other US deals had stalled in Beijing during the trade war, and that Qualcomm walked away from a $44 billion deal for NXP Semiconductors after failing to win Chinese approval. The Reuters piece mentions no conditions.

Nov. 7, 2022: Reuters reported that Nvidia confirmed it was offering a chip called the A800 in China that met new US export control rules. Nvidia had said the limits could affect about $400 million of China chip sales in one quarter, Reuters reported.

Aug. 11, 2025: the BBC reported that Nvidia and AMD had agreed to pay the US government 15% of Chinese revenues to secure export licences. For Nvidia that meant 15% of H20 chip sales in China. Nvidia told the BBC: "We follow rules the US government sets for our participation in worldwide markets." Critics quoted by the BBC called the arrangement a precedent they disliked, and some investors compared it to an export tax.

Sept. 17, 2025: CNBC reported that China's State Administration for Market Regulation had opened the Mellanox investigation earlier that week. The same day, CNBC reported that the Financial Times said China's internet regulator had told ByteDance and Alibaba not to buy Nvidia's RTX Pro 6000D. Jensen Huang responded to the second report, not the probe, and Nvidia's reaction to the investigation itself is not in the CNBC piece.

"we can only be in service of a market if the country wants us to be."

Jensen Huang, Nvidia CEO, quoted by CNBC, Sept. 17, 2025

Jan. 14, 2026: the BBC reported that the Commerce Department cleared Nvidia's H200 chips for sale in China, with conditions on security and military use. The BBC said the President had spoken of a 25% fee. The Guardian reported on Jan. 17, 2026, citing a Financial Times report, that Chinese customs had blocked H200 shipments. Reuters could not verify the report, and Nvidia had not responded to Reuters' request for comment at the time.

How the pieces sit together

The percentages differ. The 15% arrangement covered H20 chips, per the BBC. The 25% figure came with the later H200 policy, per the BBC and the Guardian. Meanwhile Washington licenses the chips, and Beijing's regulator is examining a deal it approved in 2020. You can draw your own line between those facts. The documents read draw none.

What did the regulator decide? That is not in the record read. Nvidia's position on the probe is not stated in those documents either.

Quick quiz · 3 questions

  1. On the record or still rumour?China's market regulator opened an anti-monopoly investigation into Nvidia over Mellanox, per CNBC on Sept. 17, 2025; China had approved the $6.9B deal in 2020, per Reuters.
  2. On the record or still rumour?Any regulator finding of a breach, and any conditions attached to the 2020 approval, are not confirmed in the documents read. Nvidia's response to the probe is also unrecorded there.
  3. Which year?Wrote to staff that he was unfaithful to his wife and would cooperate fully with the board's investigation

More games on the record: Price Tag · Timeline

Earlier on file: Nvidia China chip smuggling cases: $2.5B alleged, 9 charged · Jensen Huang faces subpoena threat from House China committee · Nvidia hires Cuomo investigator Joon Kim to probe Jensen Huang

The Jensen Huang file

Last entry Nov 11, 2026
  1. Reported

    Rep. John Moolenaar said Congress is prepared to subpoena Huang, with a Wednesday deadline on a briefing request, Bloomberg reported. Jensen Huang faces subpoena threat from House China committee

  2. Admitted

    Huang told employees in a memo that he was unfaithful to his wife and said he supports the investigation, per BBC News. Nvidia hires Cuomo investigator Joon Kim to probe Jensen Huang

  3. Admitted

    Wrote to Nvidia employees, "I was unfaithful to my wife"; the letter did not name the woman, Fox News reported. Biggest China spy cases ranked: Dongfan Chung, 188 months

  4. Admitted

    Wrote to staff that he was unfaithful to his wife and would cooperate fully with the board's investigation. Nvidia board opens Jensen Huang probe; shares seen 4% lower

  5. Reported

    CNBC reported three House Republican chairs asked Huang for a closed-door briefing on Nov 18. Congress presses Nvidia's Jensen Huang over Megaspeed claims

  6. Reported

    Axios reported congressional scrutiny of Huang and a Nov 11 deadline set by House chairs to schedule a briefing. Congress presses Nvidia's Jensen Huang over Megaspeed claims

  7. Reported

    Three House Republican committee leaders asked him to brief them on Nov 18 and reply by Nov 11, per the BBC. Nvidia board opens Jensen Huang probe; shares seen 4% lower

The Ledger

On the record

  • China's market regulator opened an anti-monopoly investigation into Nvidia over Mellanox, per CNBC on Sept. 17, 2025; China had approved the $6.9B deal in 2020, per Reuters.

Still rumour

  • Any regulator finding of a breach, and any conditions attached to the 2020 approval, are not confirmed in the documents read. Nvidia's response to the probe is also unrecorded there.

That's the record. The rest is rumour. - MrMoney

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